It’s kind of funny that my first ever post for 1265 was titled, “Super Bowl or Bust?” I described that the Packers needed to win a playoff game before prognosticators label the Packers as this year’s Super Bowl favorite. Well, roughly six months later and the Packers are in the Super Bowl. So, it’s only fitting that this is ‘part two’ of the Super Bowl or Bust? discussion. I’m so pumped that the Packers are playing the Steelers in the Super Bowl and in Dallas nonetheless. The Packers have the most titles in NFL history. The Steelers have the most Super Bowl wins, and the team that plays in Dallas has made the most Super Bowl appearances. The ironic thing about the Packers and Steelers is in all actuality they are lucky to be in the Super Bowl. Who would have thought at the beginning of the year that Charlie Batch saved the Steelers season by going 3-1 in Roethlisberger’s absence due to suspension? And if DeSean Jackson doesn’t return a punt return for a touchdown in the final seconds against the Giants in week 14, the Giants would have made the playoffs not the Packers. However, the Packers and Steelers persevered, and one of these teams is 4 quarters away from being Super Bowl Champions.
A friend asked me yesterday if I wanted to get together for a drink before the Packer game to break down our own perspectives. Unfortunately, I had to decline, since I work until 3 today. However, luckily for my friend and for the rest of my faithful followers, this post is going to be like we are sitting at a bar stool and have just ordered a drink.
Hey, Brice, so who do you think is going to win the game today?
My response is: Naturally, the Packers.
Aren’t you concerned about the Steelers success in the post-season and experience in the Super Bowl?
Why? Yes, I am, but experience isn’t everything. Last year, the Saints making its first ever Super Bowl appearance upset an “experienced” Colts team. In Super Bowl XLII, the Giants with very little Super Bowl experience stunned the undefeated New England Patriots, which had won three Super Bowls prior. So experience is arbitrary, it’s the journey to the Super Bowl that I believe makes the difference. Both teams have endured injuries this year, but if you look at the playoffs, the Steelers and the Packers are two entirely different teams. The Steelers in both of their home games in the playoffs were a play or two from being eliminated. While the same could be said for the Packers against the Eagles and the Bears, the Packers have established from the get-go who is the better team.
Who are you most concerned about on the Steelers?
Well, there’s Ben Roethlisberger who torched the Packers back in Dec. 2009. He’s one of the NFL’s most clutch quarterbacks in history. He’s 10-2 all time as a starting quarterback in the post-season with two championship rings. He’s tough to bring down and surprisingly elusive. Also, the Packers have issues with running backs. Rashard Mendenhall isn’t flashy, but he has the power to gain yards at crucial points of the game to extend drives.
But it’s the defense that worries me, especially Troy Polamalu, this year’s Defensive of the Year. Bruce Arians, the defensive coordinator for the Steelers, mentioned game planning for Ed Reed who is just as dominant as Polamalu. “When we play Ed Reed, we do not throw a football not knowing where he’s at. But every now and then you can move them with your eyes,” What Arians describes, is exactly what Aaron Rodgers will have to accomplish. Rodgers is well aware that Polamalu will be watching his eyes. It’s up to Rodgers to look him off while dealing with the Steelers rush.
“Wherever the ball is, Polamalu is,” said wide receiver James Jones. “You can get him. Playmakers sometimes guess, and they guess wrong sometimes. We’ve got to account for him, but he’s got to worry about us, too.”
So, what will the Packers have to do to win the Super Bowl?
From USATODAY.com, former Cardinals quarterback Kurt Warner, who lost to the Steelers 27-23 in Super Bowl XLIII, recommends that the Packers utilize the spread offense and quick-fire passing game to negate the Steelers defense. Warner said that by using this style of offense, it helped the Cardinals take the lead in the 4th quarter against the Steelers.
That’s exactly what the Packers have to do. Besides the Jets, I don’t think that there’s a team that can go toe-to-toe with the Packers spread offense. They can score and they score fast. The question is can they score consistently throughout all 4 quarters? The thing that scares me about the Packers is besides the Falcons game, the Eagles and the Bears had a chance to win the game. The Packers let both of those teams back in the game. That cannot happen with a talented team like the Steelers.
Personally, the game is in Aaron Rodgers’ hands. His 111.5 passer rating indoors, which includes the playoffs, is number one in the NFL since 2008. Aaron Rodgers will see an assortment of defensive formations that he has never seen before. The Steelers will try to confuse Rodgers with blitz packages and different line formations, but there’s one gaping flaw with the Steelers and that is their secondary. Besides Polamalu, their secondary is mediocre at best. If Rodgers can maintain poise in the pocket and the offensive line can establish protection, he will pick apart the Steelers. Besides Rodgers, what I am hoping for is that Mike McCarthy has a few tricks up his sleeve that the Steelers are unaware of. Most of the followers of 1265 know my animosity towards McCarthy. I think he is a great offensive mind, but lacks game management and the ability to call decisive plays in crucial points of the game. The interesting thing is that in the Steelers win over the Jets, the Steelers instead of running the ball on 3rd down with 50 some seconds left in the game to run as much time off the clock as possible, Tomlin called a passing play to put the nail in the coffin. That is what distinguishes Tomlin and McCarthy. Knowing McCarthy he would have ran the ball, and prayed that the defense would hold onto the victory. McCarthy cannot resort to being comfortable at all in his play calling today. No team has beaten the Packers yet this year. The Packers have beaten themselves in all of their six losses. The Steelers are a great team. I just think the Packers are a better team. So, here’s hoping the Packers are the better team today! GO PACK GO!!!!
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